Dick Morris visited the Hannity show for his regular Monday night gig last night and continued his wildly optimistic forecast for Romney’s electoral win in November. Normally, Hannity sits politely through Morris’ wacky predictions. But last night, as Morris forecast a Romney win Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Virginia and Pennsylvania and is currently “competitive” in Michigan, Hannity could not pretend to buy it.
Hannity said he could not predict who would win the presidential election in November. But he tactily acknowledged that Romney’s in some real trouble right now because he urged the Romney campaign to “act as though it’s the 4th quarter and they’re down a touchdown and they need no-huddle offense and they need to bring it into the end zone.”
Morris, on the other hand, said he could predict the winner and it’s Romney. “He’s at the moment in a very strong position,” Morris insisted.
Of course, Morris may be the only one who thinks so. Nate Silver, at The New York Times, notes that Obama’s poll numbers, in the context of the historic polling of incumbents in September, along with Silver’s own predictions and those of bookmakers all give Obama about an 80% chance of being re-elected. And conservative pundits such as Peggy Noonan, David Brooks and Bill Kristol would seem to agree.
But as Morris went on to predict that Romney would run the table in Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Virginia and Pennsylvania, Hannity could not keep quiet.
“Oh, come on,” he said.
In the case of his bizarre conclusions about the presidential race, I really have to ask what the man is smoking. On the same evening, in the prior hour, both Bill O’Reilly and Brit Hume grudgingly admitted that Obama is handily winning the swing states. Hume actually went far enough to establish his post-election excuse – that Obama is a better politician than Romney, who he called “inept”. Of course, Hume couldn’t resist showing a little anger when he groused that Obama was somehow resisting “gravity” by maintaining his lead over Romney.
But in the next hour, you have Dick Morris stubbornly singing on through the air raid…
That’s just because the little guy is so close to everyone’s feet.
I know with six weeks to go changes can happen with the polls, but I wonder if this pro-Romney enthusiasm that Dick is displaying is to make sure the Râs wonât lose any support or faith from those who will think all is lost at the top of ticket and then stay home that could cost them the House and Senate. I remember in 1980 when the networks called it for Reagan over Carter two hours before our polls here in California closed, and it depressed the voter turnout for the Dâs.
Sure you can, ’lil dick — just as you COULD predict the winner of the 2008 presidential race between Condi Rice and Hillary Clinton . . .
The best of their stable was out that night doing a few minutes schtick for a worthy cause.
The likes of Henny Youngman, Alan King, Freddy Roman, Jackie Mason and many more had folks rolling in the aisles all night long.
Dick Morris is funnier.
They weren’t predicting blowout victories for the 9’ers – they wanted to balance the book of bets, and that’s what it took.
Intrade is “paramutual” – there’s no house. Players bet against each other. The 70:30 split there honestly reflects people backing their predictions with cash.
President Obama is in a good position. What Democratics need to remember is that they can’t get too comfortable. All registered Democratics who say they’re going to vote for President Obama need to actually vote. Tell everyone you know to make sure they’re registered, make sure they have the proper ID, and make sure they vote!
What’s to apologize for? We haven’t had the election yet. Nobody is declaring a winner. Am I pleased with where Mr. Obama is today? Of course.
If Mr. Obama wins Florida, he’s re-elected. If he wins Ohio and Virginia, ditto. if he wins Ohio and Colorado, Iowa, Nevada or New Hampshire, ditto. If he wins Virginia and any two out of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada and New Hampshire, ditto. Here’s the killer: He can lose Florida, Ohio and Virginia and still win if he takes Colorado, Iowa, Nevada and New Hampshire.
Right here right now, Mr. Obama has multiple paths to victory. ®Money has to run the table.
Would®Money change positions with Mr. Obama? In a heartbeat.
Iâm not a big believer conspiracy theories, although I do find them entertaining or at least find some interest in what someone has to say, but if something diabolical is going on with our voting system, it wouldnât shock me.