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Unhappy Iraq

Reported by Nancy - October 28, 2004 -

This is an AP story, so it's probably being reported elsewhere too, but I first saw it on the MSNBC website. Researchers at Johns Hopkins University, Columbia University & Al-Mustansiriya University in Baghdad have just completed a study that is being published Thursday on the Web site of The Lancet (a highly respected medical journal). Unofficial rough estimates of numbers of Iraqi civilians killed in the war & its aftermath range from 10,000 to 30,000 -- but these researchers say that 100,000 have died.

The full story is absolutely appalling & reveal just how false all the "happy Iraq" fantasies really are. Here are excertps:


Study: 100,000 Iraqis died in war, aftermath
Science journal say coalition caused majority of violent deaths
The Associated Press
Updated: 11:48 a.m. ET Oct. 28, 2004

LONDON - A survey of deaths in Iraqi households estimates that as many as 100,000 more people may have died throughout the country in the 18 months after the U.S. invasion than would be expected based on the death rate before the war.
[...]
The scientists ... compared death rates in the 15 months before the invasion with those that occurred during the 18 months after the attack and adjusted those numbers to account for the different time periods. ... Even though the sample size appears small, this type of survey is considered accurate and acceptable by scientists and was used to calculate war deaths in Kosovo in the late 1990s.

That is an increase from 5 deaths per 1,000 people per year to 12.3 per 1,000 people per year — more than double. ... Even with Fallujah factored out, the survey "indicates that the death toll associated with the invasion and occupation of Iraq is more likely than not about 100,000 people, and may be much higher," the report said.

The most common causes of death before the invasion of Iraq were heart attacks, strokes and other chronic diseases. However, after the invasion, violence was recorded as the primary cause of death and was mainly attributed to coalition forces — with about 95 percent of those deaths caused by bombs or fire from helicopter gunships. ... The chances of a violent death were 58 times higher after the invasion than before it, the researchers said. ... Infant mortality rose from 29 deaths per 1,000 live births before the war to 57 deaths per 1,000 afterward.